Law / Liberty

How Many People in NYC Are At Risk of Losing Their Job Over the Mayor's Vaccine Mandate?

MishTalk,
Tags
vaccine mandates
New York
Bill de Blasio

Estimated Percent and Numbers

At most, about 9% of the city and 18% of the workers are impacted. The count is less because only 10.8% are not vaccinated at all. That's still a lot of people though. 

Let's crunch some numbers at various compliance rates using 4,226,300 as the current number of employees and 18% as the maximum percentage of unvaccinated. 

  • No Additional Compliance: 0.18 * 4,226,300 = 760,734
  • Assuming 25% Additional  Compliance: 0.18 * 0.75 * 4,226,300 = 570,551
  • Assuming 50% Additional Compliance: 0.18 * 0.50 * 4,226,300 = 380,367
  • Assuming 75% Additional Compliance: 0.18 * 0.25 * 4,226,300 = 190,184
  • Assuming 90% Additional Compliance: 0.18 * 0.10 * 4,226,300 = 76,073

Some number of people will refuse vaccinations. I suspect between 150,000 and 450,000 people will lose their job over the mandate. To pick a number, call it 250,000. 

Percentagewise, 250,000 / 4,226,300 * 100 is 5.9%. And the number could be much higher if I overestimate compliance.